Race 5A

central-series-tufts

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Shea Smith 56.2% 26.2% 12.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Case 14.8% 25.4% 25.4% 16.1% 10.0% 5.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Isabella Cho 8.2% 15.6% 17.7% 20.1% 18.8% 12.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Sean Lund 7.4% 12.3% 16.4% 18.1% 18.6% 15.5% 8.5% 2.6% 0.6%
Gavin Tucker 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 4.4% 5.3% 8.3% 13.2% 24.8% 40.5%
Kai Latham 3.3% 5.1% 6.7% 11.6% 13.7% 22.7% 20.2% 12.4% 4.3%
Sean Morrison 6.5% 10.5% 14.2% 17.8% 21.3% 15.5% 9.5% 4.1% 0.6%
Colin Kenny 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 4.4% 5.4% 10.1% 19.3% 27.4% 28.1%
Aengus Onken 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.8% 9.6% 20.8% 27.2% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.