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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.13+3.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90-0.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-0.01vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.11-0.12vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.20-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.35+0.72vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.93-0.89vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.99-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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1.8Tufts University1.900.5%1st Place
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2.99Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.72University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.11Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.19Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 51.3% | 28.0% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 18.0% | 24.3% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 9.9% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.5% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Kai Latham | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 44.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 22.4% | 26.4% | 24.5% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 28.9% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.