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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.13+3.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.11+2.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-0.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.90-2.33vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.99+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-2.35-0.33vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.93-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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2.95Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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1.67Tufts University1.900.6%1st Place
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7.11Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.67University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.13Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 7.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Cho | 6.9% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Charles Case | 18.5% | 26.0% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 56.1% | 26.8% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 25.9% | 26.6% |
| Kai Latham | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 25.0% | 43.3% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 27.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.