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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.13+5.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+2.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+2.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.10+1.19vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+0.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-4.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-2.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.15+0.11vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.88+0.06vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.33-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Maritime College2.100.1%1st Place
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6.36Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont3.240.2%1st Place
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6.07Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.06Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.44Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 20.4% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nilsen | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 14.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 21.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 29.3% | 30.7% | 20.5% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 13.5% | 25.4% | 53.6% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 23.4% | 37.4% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.