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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+2.45vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.20+5.60vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09+0.58vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.23+3.16vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.13+2.05vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.90-2.37vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-2.04vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.33-3.28vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.35vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71+0.01vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.57-3.89vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82College of Charleston2.3830.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Miami1.9312.8%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University2.1019.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Central Florida-0.201.9%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University1.097.3%1st Place
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9.16Clemson University0.232.2%1st Place
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9.05Rollins College-0.132.2%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida0.908.1%1st Place
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7.06Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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7.96University of North Carolina0.222.9%1st Place
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7.72The Citadel0.334.4%1st Place
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11.65Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
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13.01University of South Carolina-1.710.6%1st Place
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10.11Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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12.62Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 30.0% | 23.1% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.1% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Julia Scott | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 16.6% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 41.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 23.8% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.