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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+0.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.11+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.32vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+0.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-2.35+1.65vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.99+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-2.39vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.93-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Tufts University1.900.5%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.35Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.9Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
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7.65University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.24Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.11Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 54.6% | 28.4% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.8% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sean Lund | 6.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Case | 19.3% | 29.3% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 26.3% | 41.1% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 28.0% | 26.5% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 25.1% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.