← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University0.78+1.96vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.90-0.19vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.11+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.58vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.20-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-1.93+1.10vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.65vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-1.99-0.77vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Brown University0.780.2%1st Place
-
1.81Tufts University1.900.5%1st Place
-
3.96Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.35Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
7.1Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
4.35University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.23Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
-
7.67University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 18.7% | 25.1% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 49.9% | 29.6% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 27.8% | 24.3% |
| Sean Lund | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 21.2% | 27.0% | 27.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.