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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+0.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.78+1.11vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.11+0.97vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.93+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.77vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-2.35-0.36vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.99-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Tufts University1.900.6%1st Place
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3.11Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.97Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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7.07Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.42Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.64University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.19Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 56.5% | 25.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 14.8% | 25.7% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 8.4% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 27.6% | 23.9% |
| Sean Lund | 7.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Kai Latham | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 3.8% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 43.8% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 21.2% | 27.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.