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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+2.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+4.30vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.10+3.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.48vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.48vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.13+0.12vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.70-3.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.15+0.13vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.88+0.06vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.33-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Vermont3.240.2%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.24SUNY Maritime College2.100.1%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.12Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.1Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.06Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.42Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 18.5% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nilsen | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 21.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rivlin | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 30.2% | 30.6% | 20.5% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 13.3% | 25.6% | 53.6% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 23.1% | 36.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.