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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+3.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+0.87vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+0.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+0.55vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.22+0.92vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.33-0.32vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13+0.09vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57+0.06vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-1.80vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-3.38vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.71-1.11vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45University of Miami1.9311.9%1st Place
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2.87College of Charleston2.3828.1%1st Place
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3.55Jacksonville University2.1020.8%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University1.097.3%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida0.909.1%1st Place
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7.0Florida State University0.505.7%1st Place
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7.92University of North Carolina0.223.8%1st Place
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7.68The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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9.09Rollins College-0.132.5%1st Place
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10.06Duke University-0.571.6%1st Place
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9.2Clemson University0.232.5%1st Place
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11.79Embry-Riddle University-1.830.9%1st Place
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9.62University of Central Florida-0.201.3%1st Place
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12.89University of South Carolina-1.710.4%1st Place
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12.64Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.1% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.8% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Julia Scott | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 17.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 21.3% | 38.2% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.