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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.77+0.37vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University-0.24-0.04vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-2.60+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-2.63-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.58vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-4.05-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Boston University0.770.7%1st Place
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1.96Wesleyan University-0.240.3%1st Place
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3.91Middlebury College-2.600.0%1st Place
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3.97University of British Columbia-2.630.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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5.36Fairfield University-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 68.3% | 26.5% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubree Gottesman | 26.2% | 55.1% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Baker | 3.0% | 6.5% | 28.7% | 28.6% | 24.8% | 8.4% |
| Rebecca Power | 1.4% | 5.5% | 29.4% | 29.7% | 26.4% | 7.6% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.7% | 4.8% | 16.9% | 27.5% | 29.1% | 21.0% |
| Thomas Raynor | 0.4% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.