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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+2.93vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.38+2.87vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+4.54vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35-0.03vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.56vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-4.10vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.50-1.82vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-3.27vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.77-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.87Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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7.54Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.27Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.97University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.55Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.9Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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7.18Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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7.61Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Colby Green | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 19.8% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Sam Harris | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| William Delong | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Ricky Miller | 17.8% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| John O'Connell | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.