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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.26+5.61vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+2.00vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+4.53vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.66vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.38-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35-2.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.48-1.05vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-1.14vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-3.28vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.50-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.0Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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7.53Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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3.98Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.93Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.83University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.95Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.86Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.72Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.93Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Ricky Miller | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Colby Green | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Delong | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Luke Adams | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Sam Harris | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 24.5% |
| John O'Connell | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.