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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+2.92vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.38+2.08vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+3.57vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.75-1.02vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82-2.11vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-0.07vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-0.34vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.39-2.10vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.26-3.61vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.50-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.92University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.08Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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7.57Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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3.98Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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3.89Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.93Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.66Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.9Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.39Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.93Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Sam Harris | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Luke Adams | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Colby Green | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 19.4% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 23.3% |
| John O'Connell | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.