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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Delong 6.9% 9.5% 9.4% 10.7% 10.9% 10.9% 11.4% 11.0% 8.6% 6.1% 4.6%
Sam Harris 12.4% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 10.4% 12.1% 8.8% 8.4% 6.3% 4.9% 1.3%
Luke Adams 10.7% 11.8% 11.5% 11.0% 12.0% 11.7% 8.6% 9.4% 6.0% 4.7% 2.6%
Colby Green 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 7.6% 9.2% 9.9% 13.0% 16.1% 19.1%
Ricky Miller 19.1% 15.9% 14.4% 13.0% 10.6% 8.3% 8.8% 4.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Nithya Balachander 19.4% 16.4% 16.0% 13.1% 9.9% 7.6% 7.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Brian Zettlemoyer 6.4% 5.1% 6.5% 6.4% 8.2% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 12.5% 12.9% 13.4%
Caroline Henry 3.8% 4.4% 4.4% 6.4% 7.1% 7.8% 6.9% 9.7% 12.0% 14.2% 23.3%
John O'Connell 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 10.7% 11.2% 11.9% 12.4% 12.7%
Penelope Weekes 7.2% 7.0% 8.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 10.5% 10.1% 11.2% 11.5% 8.6%
Nok In Chan 4.8% 7.1% 6.1% 7.4% 8.8% 7.9% 7.9% 11.0% 11.8% 13.9% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.