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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Delong 6.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% 11.4% 11.7% 10.2% 12.2% 9.5% 6.6% 3.7%
Ricky Miller 18.0% 17.4% 14.1% 12.6% 10.3% 9.8% 7.6% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Sam Harris 11.6% 9.6% 12.0% 12.2% 11.2% 8.7% 10.4% 9.4% 7.9% 4.4% 2.6%
Nithya Balachander 18.8% 14.6% 15.0% 14.0% 11.8% 8.4% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Colby Green 5.3% 5.5% 4.2% 6.6% 6.3% 9.0% 8.1% 11.1% 11.9% 14.5% 17.5%
Nok In Chan 4.5% 6.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 9.5% 9.6% 12.1% 14.8% 15.5%
Luke Adams 13.8% 12.7% 12.4% 12.5% 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.2%
Penelope Weekes 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 9.3% 8.9% 11.1% 9.7% 9.9% 11.7% 8.9%
John O'Connell 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 6.2% 6.7% 9.8% 9.8% 11.0% 12.5% 12.1% 13.6%
Caroline Henry 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 4.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.0% 8.3% 11.7% 15.7% 23.4%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.4% 6.3% 8.2% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 9.3% 11.0% 13.7% 13.6% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.