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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+4.79vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+2.15vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59+2.31vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50+1.15vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.38-2.29vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-1.62vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.39-2.05vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-2.33vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.48-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.98Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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5.15University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.98Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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7.31Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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7.15Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.71Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.38Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.95Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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7.67Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.92Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Ricky Miller | 18.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sam Harris | 11.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 18.8% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Colby Green | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| Luke Adams | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
| John O'Connell | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 23.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.