Race 1B

icsa-regional-teams

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Slipper 16.3% 17.6% 15.9% 12.9% 12.2% 10.5% 5.1% 5.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Aengus Onken 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 3.6% 4.1% 6.4% 6.8% 9.8% 17.5% 42.6%
William Avery 6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.0% 10.0% 10.4% 12.3% 12.7% 13.2% 8.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 9.4% 11.6% 9.6% 13.6% 9.8% 11.8% 10.1% 10.1% 7.2% 5.3% 1.5%
Marykate Hanus 20.6% 16.5% 13.8% 12.3% 12.4% 7.1% 6.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Harrison Nash 8.0% 8.8% 11.1% 9.4% 9.5% 11.4% 11.0% 9.3% 9.6% 7.6% 4.3%
Andrew Blagden 8.4% 8.6% 7.1% 10.4% 10.1% 10.2% 10.7% 11.6% 9.5% 9.1% 4.3%
Nathanael Green 8.7% 7.8% 10.8% 9.5% 11.5% 9.6% 9.1% 11.3% 10.2% 7.5% 4.0%
Jack Rutherford 3.0% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 12.9% 21.7% 25.7%
Eli Erling 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 12.0% 10.4% 13.8% 9.9% 6.6%
Sunny Sun 9.6% 10.6% 11.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.6% 11.4% 8.9% 8.8% 5.4% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.