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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.28+1.01vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50+1.92vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.64+1.08vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79+0.49vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.40-1.77vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.82-1.58vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.57-3.03vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.53-1.89vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.93-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Rice University0.280.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.01University of New Hampshire0.280.2%1st Place
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5.92Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.08Bentley University-0.640.1%1st Place
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6.49Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.23Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.42Clemson University-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.97Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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8.11Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.88Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 17.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Marykate Hanus | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Blagden | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Eli Erling | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| William Avery | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 6.7% |
| Nathanael Green | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 24.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.