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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+2.90vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.82+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.28+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.21vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.50+0.70vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.57-0.08vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.64-1.11vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.40-2.69vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.79-2.44vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.93-1.08vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.53-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Rice University0.280.2%1st Place
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6.56Clemson University-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.01University of New Hampshire0.280.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.7Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.92Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.89Bentley University-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.31Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.56Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.92Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.02Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 17.0% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Avery | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Nathanael Green | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Sunny Sun | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Eli Erling | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 44.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.