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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+2.74vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.40+3.30vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.50+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.02vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.82+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.31vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.57-1.45vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.12-0.94vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.27-1.41vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.79-3.85vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.93-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Rice University0.280.2%1st Place
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5.3Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.76Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.38Clemson University-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.69University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.55Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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7.06Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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7.59Bentley University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.15Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.75Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 18.4% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| William Avery | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Sean Lund | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Nathanael Green | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| Isabel Walchli | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| Eli Erling | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.