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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+2.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+2.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.49+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83+1.24vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.42-3.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-3.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.84College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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3.93Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 27.4% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 15.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Allen | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 19.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.