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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robby Meek 27.4% 21.1% 16.2% 12.2% 9.1% 7.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 15.8% 14.5% 16.4% 12.9% 13.5% 10.2% 9.0% 4.1% 3.1% 0.5%
Max Katz-Christy 7.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.2% 8.7% 14.5% 14.4% 14.0% 10.3% 3.6%
Gus Macaulay 6.4% 8.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.5% 12.9% 12.6% 12.5% 11.0% 2.9%
Charlie Allen 7.4% 7.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 12.7% 13.4% 14.9% 13.1% 4.8%
Gavin Sanborn 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 4.6% 6.9% 6.5% 10.9% 14.5% 24.8% 19.1%
Cam Spriggs 14.9% 16.9% 14.0% 16.6% 14.0% 9.9% 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Ethan Danielson 6.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 10.6% 11.3% 13.6% 13.0% 13.0% 4.9%
Owen Grainger 9.1% 9.7% 9.7% 12.4% 13.3% 11.8% 12.5% 11.7% 7.6% 2.2%
Katherine Mason 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 8.2% 14.2% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.