Race 2A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Grainger 10.3% 9.8% 10.5% 12.2% 10.4% 11.7% 13.2% 11.9% 7.4% 2.6%
Drew Mastovsky 16.1% 14.4% 15.2% 14.4% 13.3% 10.1% 8.4% 4.5% 3.4% 0.2%
Robby Meek 25.2% 20.9% 17.6% 12.4% 11.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Charlie Allen 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 7.9% 10.9% 13.3% 14.8% 14.2% 13.4% 4.4%
Cam Spriggs 15.9% 16.8% 15.6% 14.2% 12.8% 9.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 4.5% 3.8% 3.1% 5.5% 6.9% 6.7% 10.6% 14.2% 25.5% 19.2%
Max Katz-Christy 5.8% 8.3% 9.8% 11.0% 11.7% 13.4% 14.3% 11.3% 10.7% 3.7%
Ethan Danielson 6.5% 9.1% 8.5% 9.8% 9.7% 12.2% 12.5% 14.8% 11.8% 5.1%
Gus Macaulay 8.5% 9.1% 9.1% 10.4% 11.1% 12.3% 12.2% 14.4% 9.5% 3.4%
Katherine Mason 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 7.9% 15.3% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.