Race 3A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cam Spriggs 18.9% 15.8% 15.7% 12.7% 10.5% 11.0% 7.8% 4.0% 2.9% 0.7%
Robby Meek 25.9% 21.3% 16.8% 13.1% 10.1% 6.6% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 15.6% 15.0% 14.2% 14.1% 13.7% 11.1% 7.5% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Max Katz-Christy 6.6% 8.2% 9.7% 12.1% 10.4% 11.3% 16.5% 11.4% 10.9% 2.9%
Gavin Sanborn 3.6% 4.7% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.8% 8.6% 14.5% 25.8% 18.7%
Charlie Allen 7.8% 6.5% 8.1% 8.0% 11.3% 11.1% 13.5% 15.4% 12.9% 5.4%
Gus Macaulay 6.2% 8.8% 10.0% 10.6% 11.8% 13.1% 13.6% 13.6% 9.1% 3.2%
Ethan Danielson 6.3% 7.7% 10.0% 8.4% 10.9% 13.2% 12.0% 14.7% 11.8% 5.0%
Katherine Mason 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 3.2% 2.4% 2.5% 4.5% 7.4% 15.4% 60.8%
Owen Grainger 7.7% 11.1% 9.7% 12.1% 12.6% 12.3% 12.5% 10.9% 8.2% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.