← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.48vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.87+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.57+2.88vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.69+1.48vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.42-1.11vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.40-2.07vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.84-1.82vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.49-2.09vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.83-1.70vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
-
3.1Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
-
5.88Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.48Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.89Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
-
3.93Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
-
5.18University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.91College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
-
7.3University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Robby Meek | 25.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 4.4% |
| Gus Macaulay | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 17.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Allen | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 26.0% | 18.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.