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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+2.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+2.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.57+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83+1.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.49-1.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-2.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.42-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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4.0Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.69Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.97Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 28.0% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 15.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 26.7% | 17.4% |
| Charlie Allen | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 4.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 62.7% |
| Cam Spriggs | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.