Race 6A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlie Allen 6.7% 8.6% 6.8% 9.8% 10.5% 10.4% 12.3% 15.5% 14.6% 4.8%
Gus Macaulay 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 11.5% 13.0% 11.4% 13.7% 11.1% 3.5%
Max Katz-Christy 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 8.1% 10.9% 14.3% 13.4% 13.8% 10.7% 3.6%
Cam Spriggs 16.4% 15.6% 15.3% 14.7% 14.4% 8.8% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Drew Mastovsky 17.0% 14.9% 14.3% 16.3% 12.5% 8.7% 8.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Robby Meek 25.6% 22.2% 16.2% 13.5% 9.1% 7.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Owen Grainger 7.7% 9.5% 12.2% 12.5% 11.9% 12.8% 14.0% 10.3% 7.1% 2.0%
Ethan Danielson 6.7% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 9.5% 11.3% 14.5% 13.2% 13.2% 4.4%
Katherine Mason 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.4% 4.8% 7.8% 13.1% 62.1%
Gavin Sanborn 3.0% 3.0% 5.2% 4.4% 6.5% 10.1% 9.4% 14.6% 25.0% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.