← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.87+2.06vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.40+1.02vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.69+1.49vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.49+0.85vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.42-2.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.83+0.38vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.57-2.26vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.84-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
-
5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
-
4.02Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
-
5.49Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.85College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
-
3.85Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
-
7.38University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.74Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
-
8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.22University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 26.1% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 16.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Charlie Allen | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 17.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 26.4% | 18.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 61.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.