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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+2.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+1.93vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.57+2.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.50vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87-1.95vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.69-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84-1.82vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.49-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.83-1.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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3.93Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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3.05Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.9College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 17.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Cam Spriggs | 16.5% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Robby Meek | 26.2% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Allen | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 5.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 26.0% | 18.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.