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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+2.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.49+3.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.87+0.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.57+1.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.69+0.48vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40-2.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-3.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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3.12Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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5.8Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.93Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 17.3% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Allen | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Robby Meek | 24.2% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 4.3% |
| Gus Macaulay | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 17.7% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 26.0% | 18.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.