Race 1B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Stevens 8.3% 9.6% 9.0% 10.8% 10.5% 11.0% 11.3% 12.5% 11.9% 5.1%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 16.9% 14.5% 15.6% 12.7% 12.5% 9.6% 8.2% 6.4% 3.0% 0.6%
Connor McHugh 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 12.0% 10.7% 12.5% 14.8% 10.1% 8.9% 4.1%
Courtland Doyle 5.9% 6.9% 8.9% 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.6% 12.8% 13.5% 8.4%
Max Sigel 9.5% 8.9% 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 12.2% 11.9% 10.5% 9.2% 4.9%
Harrison Strom 16.6% 15.6% 15.2% 13.9% 12.0% 10.6% 8.5% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Christian Cushman 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 8.9% 8.6% 10.2% 13.6% 14.3% 15.5% 13.0%
James Brock 23.2% 22.3% 18.2% 11.1% 10.7% 7.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Emma Wang 4.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 17.4% 17.5% 20.5%
Langdon Wallace 2.1% 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.3% 7.2% 9.6% 17.4% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.