Race 2B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonnie Ciffolillo 17.2% 16.0% 15.6% 13.1% 10.8% 9.7% 8.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.5%
Harrison Strom 16.0% 15.7% 15.0% 14.4% 11.3% 9.7% 7.9% 6.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Connor McHugh 8.8% 8.6% 11.2% 10.0% 9.5% 15.7% 12.7% 10.7% 8.4% 4.4%
Benjamin Stevens 6.8% 8.4% 10.0% 10.8% 10.8% 13.0% 12.4% 11.8% 9.9% 6.1%
Courtland Doyle 7.3% 8.3% 6.4% 9.9% 9.1% 10.6% 14.7% 12.9% 12.2% 8.6%
Max Sigel 9.8% 9.7% 9.0% 10.3% 13.4% 11.3% 10.4% 11.9% 8.9% 5.3%
James Brock 22.8% 20.3% 17.4% 13.6% 11.8% 6.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Emma Wang 3.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 8.0% 6.8% 11.5% 14.5% 19.4% 19.4%
Christian Cushman 6.0% 4.8% 6.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.5% 10.4% 14.4% 17.1% 12.0%
Langdon Wallace 2.0% 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.6% 5.4% 7.8% 10.1% 17.1% 41.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.