Race 3B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cushman 5.7% 6.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 10.2% 10.7% 14.4% 15.5% 13.4%
Benjamin Stevens 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 10.6% 11.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.5% 12.2% 5.8%
Courtland Doyle 5.9% 7.7% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 10.3% 15.6% 13.2% 13.4% 8.8%
Max Sigel 7.6% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 12.6% 12.9% 12.0% 11.9% 8.6% 4.1%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 16.5% 15.6% 14.3% 15.2% 11.8% 10.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.0%
Connor McHugh 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 11.4% 12.3% 12.1% 12.3% 10.0% 8.9% 3.8%
Harrison Strom 14.1% 18.1% 15.6% 13.7% 12.0% 11.2% 7.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7%
James Brock 24.8% 19.0% 18.3% 12.5% 10.8% 6.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5%
Emma Wang 4.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 11.5% 16.2% 18.4% 19.5%
Langdon Wallace 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 3.8% 7.0% 6.8% 10.9% 16.9% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.