Race 4B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Courtland Doyle 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 9.4% 9.4% 11.6% 11.2% 14.4% 12.7% 8.7%
Max Sigel 9.1% 8.2% 10.2% 11.2% 10.6% 13.4% 11.9% 10.9% 10.3% 4.2%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 16.6% 13.6% 14.5% 14.4% 12.9% 10.1% 8.7% 5.4% 3.2% 0.6%
Connor McHugh 8.9% 9.3% 12.0% 10.5% 12.4% 12.7% 11.6% 10.3% 8.2% 4.1%
Harrison Strom 16.4% 17.1% 13.8% 14.7% 12.9% 8.6% 7.4% 5.6% 2.4% 1.1%
James Brock 24.0% 20.7% 17.2% 13.0% 9.5% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Emma Wang 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 6.1% 7.6% 9.3% 10.7% 14.6% 18.3% 21.5%
Benjamin Stevens 6.9% 10.6% 9.5% 10.1% 10.3% 11.2% 12.9% 12.5% 10.1% 5.9%
Christian Cushman 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.0% 9.8% 8.9% 12.4% 14.5% 16.6% 12.5%
Langdon Wallace 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 3.6% 4.6% 6.2% 8.6% 10.0% 17.2% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.