Race 5B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 9.3% 12.1% 11.7% 11.6% 10.0% 8.6% 5.0%
James Brock 23.7% 19.9% 16.6% 13.5% 9.5% 8.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 15.6% 15.7% 13.8% 13.5% 14.1% 10.7% 7.6% 5.3% 3.0% 0.7%
Harrison Strom 15.0% 16.1% 14.9% 15.0% 12.0% 11.2% 7.4% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Courtland Doyle 7.6% 8.2% 6.7% 8.7% 9.2% 11.2% 13.6% 13.0% 13.1% 8.7%
Max Sigel 9.8% 8.3% 10.9% 10.5% 11.4% 12.8% 11.8% 9.5% 9.6% 5.4%
Emma Wang 2.8% 4.5% 5.0% 6.7% 6.3% 9.6% 11.3% 14.4% 19.7% 19.7%
Christian Cushman 4.9% 5.8% 7.4% 8.9% 9.3% 8.3% 12.0% 16.1% 15.7% 11.6%
Benjamin Stevens 8.7% 7.7% 10.1% 10.2% 11.5% 10.2% 12.8% 12.2% 10.3% 6.3%
Langdon Wallace 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 3.7% 4.6% 6.2% 7.2% 12.3% 15.8% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.