Race 6B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 11.0% 8.4% 10.7% 11.2% 12.3% 11.5% 12.0% 10.8% 8.7% 3.4%
Christian Cushman 5.7% 6.0% 5.2% 7.9% 9.8% 9.7% 12.3% 14.8% 15.3% 13.3%
Benjamin Stevens 7.0% 9.0% 7.8% 9.1% 10.6% 12.8% 12.2% 14.9% 10.7% 5.9%
Courtland Doyle 5.6% 7.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 12.2% 14.9% 12.0% 12.6% 8.2%
Harrison Strom 17.8% 14.4% 15.5% 13.2% 13.3% 10.2% 6.5% 5.2% 2.9% 1.0%
Emma Wang 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 5.2% 7.2% 8.1% 9.6% 14.5% 18.8% 20.9%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 14.7% 15.6% 16.6% 15.5% 12.1% 10.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1%
Max Sigel 7.8% 11.5% 10.1% 11.2% 9.0% 12.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.3% 4.5%
James Brock 23.6% 20.2% 16.4% 13.3% 12.2% 6.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Langdon Wallace 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 4.0% 5.8% 9.3% 9.6% 17.9% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.