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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.48+4.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+1.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.80+2.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36+0.03vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.65+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.27+0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.37-5.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.75-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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3.3Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.03College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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5.57Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.97Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.37University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| James Brock | 23.7% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% |
| Emma Wang | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 41.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Sigel | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.