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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+4.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+4.04vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.36+1.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.80+1.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.65-0.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-3.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.27-2.52vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.37-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.13College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.53Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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3.29Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 8.7% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 16.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 39.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% |
| James Brock | 21.7% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wang | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 13.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.