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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+1.75vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+3.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.41vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.39vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11-0.83vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55-2.82vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.10-2.84vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.88+1.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.75vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.33-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Vermont3.240.2%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.17Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.18Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.16SUNY Maritime College2.100.1%1st Place
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11.02Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.46Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 17.4% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 20.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nilsen | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 51.8% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 29.0% | 32.4% | 22.2% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 23.4% | 37.3% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.