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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+4.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+4.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.37+1.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.80+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.27+1.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75-1.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.36-4.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.97vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.07Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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3.28Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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3.97College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| Harrison Strom | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor McHugh | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% |
| James Brock | 24.4% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 15.8% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 41.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.