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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+3.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+2.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64-0.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.15-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+0.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+0.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.45+0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.19-1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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2.95Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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3.72Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 26.9% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 16.0% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 19.9% |
| Devon Owen | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| William Denker | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 24.8% | 26.6% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 20.8% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.