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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Roman 16.1% 16.0% 14.4% 12.5% 12.9% 12.1% 7.4% 6.3% 1.7% 0.6%
Kate Danielson 16.0% 17.8% 15.7% 15.0% 12.3% 10.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Tyler Lamm 27.1% 21.5% 18.1% 13.5% 10.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Bella Shakespeare 11.3% 14.0% 13.2% 13.9% 13.9% 13.6% 10.0% 5.8% 3.5% 0.8%
Devon Owen 11.9% 10.6% 12.6% 14.7% 15.4% 13.3% 9.0% 7.5% 4.1% 0.9%
Shea McGrath 4.3% 3.8% 3.8% 4.6% 7.2% 7.9% 12.6% 14.6% 21.8% 19.4%
Sophia Woodbury 3.3% 4.8% 7.5% 7.7% 9.3% 12.9% 13.6% 17.7% 14.9% 8.3%
William Denker 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 11.8% 14.3% 20.9% 28.1%
Robert Finora 2.3% 1.3% 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0% 9.0% 13.8% 21.6% 36.3%
Olin Guck 5.5% 8.0% 7.7% 9.9% 9.5% 12.9% 16.5% 14.6% 10.0% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.