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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+3.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.15+1.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64-0.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.83+0.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74-0.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.45+1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19-0.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.15-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.79Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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2.93Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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4.42College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kate Danielson | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 27.1% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Devon Owen | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 19.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| William Denker | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 28.1% |
| Robert Finora | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| Olin Guck | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.