Race 3C

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Roman 16.2% 16.4% 14.7% 12.5% 11.6% 12.0% 9.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Tyler Lamm 29.4% 20.5% 17.2% 12.6% 10.6% 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kate Danielson 15.7% 15.7% 16.5% 15.5% 15.4% 9.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Olin Guck 4.8% 7.0% 8.0% 11.0% 10.5% 13.6% 15.0% 15.2% 10.2% 4.7%
Devon Owen 11.4% 12.7% 11.8% 13.4% 13.9% 14.4% 10.0% 7.3% 4.4% 0.7%
William Denker 2.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.1% 5.1% 7.5% 10.1% 13.1% 22.9% 28.4%
Bella Shakespeare 10.1% 13.7% 13.8% 15.2% 13.6% 13.1% 9.2% 7.9% 2.4% 1.0%
Shea McGrath 2.7% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.7% 9.2% 12.0% 15.8% 21.0% 18.8%
Robert Finora 2.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 9.7% 13.0% 21.0% 36.8%
Sophia Woodbury 4.6% 5.4% 6.7% 7.9% 8.6% 10.9% 14.8% 18.0% 14.6% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.