Race 4C

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Lamm 29.4% 22.4% 15.7% 12.8% 9.7% 4.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Roman 13.5% 16.1% 15.6% 14.1% 13.5% 10.7% 8.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Devon Owen 11.1% 10.4% 12.2% 13.2% 14.5% 15.8% 10.8% 7.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Kate Danielson 16.1% 17.2% 15.3% 17.4% 13.0% 8.4% 7.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Bella Shakespeare 12.9% 11.9% 14.3% 15.3% 13.1% 12.3% 10.0% 6.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Shea McGrath 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 5.6% 9.0% 12.6% 16.0% 20.9% 18.8%
Olin Guck 4.8% 7.5% 8.7% 8.4% 11.3% 14.7% 16.5% 13.4% 10.0% 4.7%
Sophia Woodbury 4.4% 5.4% 7.1% 7.1% 9.8% 11.7% 13.9% 17.4% 14.2% 9.0%
Robert Finora 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 5.3% 7.6% 13.0% 24.6% 35.0%
William Denker 2.0% 3.0% 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 7.6% 9.2% 14.8% 20.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.