Race 5C

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Lamm 31.4% 19.5% 16.0% 12.5% 10.4% 5.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Bella Shakespeare 11.7% 13.2% 12.7% 14.0% 13.6% 12.5% 11.0% 6.5% 4.0% 0.8%
Jack Roman 14.0% 14.5% 14.1% 15.3% 14.5% 11.5% 9.0% 4.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Devon Owen 10.2% 11.5% 13.8% 14.6% 14.0% 14.1% 10.9% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Sophia Woodbury 5.4% 5.5% 7.9% 6.5% 8.2% 11.9% 15.6% 17.1% 13.3% 8.6%
Shea McGrath 3.4% 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 6.2% 8.4% 12.4% 17.1% 20.2% 18.6%
Kate Danielson 15.1% 18.4% 16.5% 16.0% 12.5% 9.7% 6.3% 4.3% 0.8% 0.4%
Olin Guck 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 9.8% 11.6% 13.7% 12.9% 14.1% 10.5% 6.1%
Robert Finora 1.9% 1.7% 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 5.7% 9.4% 13.1% 22.9% 35.3%
William Denker 1.6% 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 15.4% 22.3% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.