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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+2.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+2.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64-1.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.83-0.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.74-1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.58vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.45-0.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.19-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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4.08Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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2.88Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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4.35College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 17.9% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Olin Guck | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 27.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Devon Owen | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 7.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| Robert Finora | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 36.0% |
| William Denker | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.