← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kate Danielson 17.9% 17.6% 15.4% 14.5% 11.4% 10.5% 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Jack Roman 13.6% 16.0% 14.1% 14.9% 13.9% 11.9% 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Olin Guck 6.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 10.6% 13.0% 17.1% 14.2% 11.9% 4.6%
Tyler Lamm 27.3% 22.7% 18.1% 13.3% 10.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Bella Shakespeare 12.6% 11.6% 14.6% 15.3% 14.3% 12.3% 9.1% 6.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Devon Owen 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 12.4% 14.6% 12.6% 10.9% 7.6% 4.2% 0.7%
Sophia Woodbury 4.1% 3.9% 7.1% 8.4% 8.8% 13.1% 15.1% 16.2% 15.7% 7.6%
Shea McGrath 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 18.1% 19.6% 19.4%
Robert Finora 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 4.3% 5.6% 9.3% 12.6% 22.0% 36.0%
William Denker 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 5.0% 4.2% 7.6% 11.0% 13.6% 20.7% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.