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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+2.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+1.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64-2.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.83-1.70vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.45+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.28+0.34vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-2.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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2.81Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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4.3College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 18.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Devon Owen | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 28.7% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 22.0% | 14.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 23.2% | 41.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.