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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kate Danielson 18.2% 18.1% 15.7% 12.8% 12.9% 11.2% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Jack Roman 13.8% 14.9% 15.7% 16.3% 14.0% 9.7% 7.9% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Devon Owen 11.2% 11.5% 11.5% 13.2% 14.8% 15.2% 11.5% 7.3% 3.5% 0.3%
Olin Guck 4.9% 6.3% 10.4% 10.0% 11.8% 12.4% 16.6% 13.7% 10.0% 3.9%
Tyler Lamm 28.7% 24.4% 15.9% 14.8% 7.1% 5.4% 1.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Bella Shakespeare 13.3% 12.8% 14.5% 12.5% 14.8% 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Shea McGrath 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 4.8% 6.9% 9.4% 13.3% 18.9% 22.0% 14.8%
Ocean Smith 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 7.6% 11.3% 23.2% 41.0%
Sophia Woodbury 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 8.9% 12.8% 14.9% 17.4% 13.8% 7.0%
Robert Finora 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.5% 7.0% 8.8% 15.1% 22.2% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.