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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+1.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.15+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+2.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.83+0.36vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01-1.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.74-1.50vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.45-0.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.28-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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4.36College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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3.95Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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7.12Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 29.9% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 16.1% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Roman | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Devon Owen | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 15.2% |
| Robert Finora | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 29.7% |
| Ocean Smith | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.