← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Lamm 29.9% 23.1% 15.6% 12.6% 8.4% 5.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kate Danielson 16.1% 17.1% 17.5% 14.7% 12.8% 9.9% 7.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.4%
Olin Guck 6.3% 7.3% 8.1% 7.3% 9.7% 14.2% 18.4% 15.0% 10.1% 3.6%
Bella Shakespeare 11.1% 13.5% 13.8% 13.9% 16.0% 13.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Jack Roman 14.9% 14.5% 15.4% 17.6% 13.6% 10.7% 6.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Devon Owen 11.5% 12.9% 13.1% 13.6% 13.9% 12.3% 10.6% 7.9% 3.7% 0.5%
Sophia Woodbury 4.3% 4.5% 6.4% 9.3% 9.4% 12.8% 16.0% 17.3% 14.1% 5.9%
Shea McGrath 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.2% 7.6% 10.2% 10.7% 18.5% 21.5% 15.2%
Robert Finora 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 10.7% 14.1% 24.9% 29.7%
Ocean Smith 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.7% 5.5% 8.0% 11.1% 20.4% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.