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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+1.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.38+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.80+0.45vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.44-1.05vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.49-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Middlebury College0.0328.7%1st Place
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2.11Brown University0.3837.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Connecticut-0.8011.2%1st Place
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2.95McGill University-0.4417.4%1st Place
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4.12Williams College-1.495.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 28.7% | 28.8% | 23.7% | 14.0% | 4.8% |
| Charles Case | 37.0% | 30.1% | 20.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 11.2% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 28.8% | 26.4% |
| Eben Dooling | 17.4% | 19.4% | 25.4% | 26.2% | 11.6% |
| Caleb Kohn | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.