Race 6A

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eliza Richartz 20.5% 17.7% 17.5% 14.7% 11.2% 8.8% 4.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Soper 15.7% 16.5% 16.1% 14.7% 11.8% 8.5% 8.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Cowley 8.2% 6.8% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 12.7% 14.3% 14.0% 10.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Gregory Hodges 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.9% 6.3% 11.3% 14.0% 16.4% 19.4% 15.8%
Bradley Schoch 9.0% 10.4% 10.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.4% 11.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Samuel Harrison 14.3% 17.1% 12.7% 13.1% 14.3% 10.4% 8.7% 5.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cody Shevitz 14.2% 12.4% 14.3% 12.0% 13.6% 11.6% 10.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Michael Lazzaro 10.0% 9.4% 9.2% 11.1% 10.2% 12.3% 12.2% 11.1% 7.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Ashley Eberhard 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 7.5% 10.4% 15.8% 17.8% 17.6% 12.1%
Lauren Amery 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.3% 12.8% 15.1% 16.1% 14.6% 7.5%
Janet Rumsey 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.2% 7.0% 11.4% 16.2% 21.6% 27.9%
Christopher Hagerman 0.9% 1.8% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 5.3% 9.7% 15.9% 20.2% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.