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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+3.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+7.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+1.66vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.76+1.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.54+0.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50+0.30vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-0.92vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-3.63vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.83-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.09vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.93-4.61vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.67-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.3Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.94Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 36.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.