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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.99+8.40vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.45+5.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+4.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+3.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+0.95vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.21+1.84vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.07-2.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.62-1.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.48vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.01+1.34vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-2.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.48-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.47-5.71vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-7.30vs Predicted
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18Fordham University-0.35-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4University of South Florida0.994.3%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College1.457.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College1.367.2%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University1.527.4%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College1.8411.2%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University1.215.9%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University2.0716.7%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University1.6210.5%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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9.52University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
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12.34North Carolina State University0.012.6%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.633.8%1st Place
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10.4University of Wisconsin0.363.2%1st Place
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13.91Boston University-0.481.7%1st Place
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14.59University of Texas-0.670.9%1st Place
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10.29University of Hawaii0.474.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.1%1st Place
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13.53Fordham University-0.351.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalea Woodard | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 16.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 22.8% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 31.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Lina Carper | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.