Race 10B

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Proctor 9.3% 11.3% 10.7% 11.7% 12.1% 13.2% 12.2% 10.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Alex Reynolds 4.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 11.3% 16.3% 18.6% 6.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Conor Cashel 10.5% 9.4% 8.8% 11.1% 10.1% 14.0% 11.7% 12.8% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Olivia Crane 16.6% 20.9% 13.7% 14.8% 12.3% 8.9% 6.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Rivlin 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.1% 11.4% 12.4% 12.9% 16.6% 8.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Elliott Morrill 21.2% 15.8% 17.4% 15.1% 10.6% 8.0% 6.3% 3.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 15.0% 12.5% 15.0% 12.9% 12.2% 10.1% 9.5% 7.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 7.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 11.1% 12.2% 12.8% 16.5% 8.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Phillip Weigand 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 7.5% 27.9% 34.5% 19.4%
Martin McDonald 8.5% 8.3% 10.6% 8.6% 12.9% 10.9% 13.0% 13.1% 10.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 3.1% 13.4% 24.3% 54.2%
Laine Meelheim 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.9% 25.4% 35.5% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.