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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+5.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.26vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.07vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+7.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+5.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.07vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.85+2.93vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24-0.25vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.54+1.18vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.99vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.26vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21-0.81vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.63-3.25vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.07-2.52vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.54-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.07Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.18Penn State University0.540.0%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.74SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.19Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.75Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.48Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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8.92Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 16.9% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 21.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 23.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.