← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.32+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.54+3.46vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.35vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+8.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.51vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.08+4.39vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University0.81+4.32vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.01-1.07vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.08+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.91-2.42vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.57vs Predicted
-
12Virginia Tech-0.36+3.08vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-7.52vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University0.96-3.52vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University0.45-2.57vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.89vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.26-7.12vs Predicted
-
18Washington College-0.87-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.46Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.35U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
12.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.51University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.39Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.32Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.93Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.36Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.58Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
15.08Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
-
5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.48Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
-
12.43Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
14.11SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.88George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
15.78Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 27.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Luke Barker | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.