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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+4.74vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+4.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+2.90vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+6.38vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81+4.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.54vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.45+3.54vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-3.51vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.08-0.54vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.96-0.95vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-2.77vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.36+0.63vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.91-7.64vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-6.21vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.87vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.87-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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11.3Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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12.54Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.05Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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10.23Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.63Virginia Tech-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.36Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.13SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.85Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 4.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Luke Barker | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.